The Case for Systems Thinking in Agricultural Research

Provar as a system

Scientific credibility is generally associated with the quality of the research itself: appropriate experimental design, accurate data collection, defensible analysis and careful interpretation. These are fundamental. However, research does not take place independently of the organisation producing it. The consistency and credibility of the final output also depend on how that organisation allocates responsibility, manages information, retains knowledge and responds when demand begins to exceed capacity.

This has become an increasingly important consideration as Provar has grown. More projects, broader services and expanding digital capability create new opportunities, but they also create more decisions, more interfaces between people and divisions, and greater demand for coordination. The question is therefore not only whether Provar has the technical capability to do more work. It is whether the organisation itself is becoming more capable of supporting that work consistently.

Looking beyond the immediate problem

Organisational challenges usually present themselves as individual events. A report is delayed, a decision takes longer than expected, information is unavailable when it is needed, or a project creates more pressure than anticipated. Each situation may require a direct response, but repeated occurrences suggest that the immediate event may not be the full problem.

A delayed report may result from individual time management. Repeated delays across several projects and capable researchers may instead point to competing priorities, inadequate review capacity, fragmented information or unclear ownership. In that situation, focusing only on the latest delay may correct the immediate outcome without changing the conditions that continue to produce it.

This distinction does not remove individual accountability. It prevents structural problems from being interpreted exclusively as individual ones.

Charl Herbst and Tristan Dorfling presenting on systems thinking in agriculture at Provar Information Day 2026.
Charl Herbst (left), Stanislaus Agri / Hortgro Stone, and Tristan Dorfling (right), Provar, explored systems thinking at Provar Information Day 2026. Their presentations examined weaknesses in the fruit value chain and the industry’s future direction.

Thinking about Provar as a system

We have therefore started thinking more deliberately about Provar as a system. This means looking beyond individual people or functions and considering how roles, authority, information, resources and expectations interact.

These interconnections matter because they influence how work moves through the organisation. Where decision rights are unclear, more matters require escalation. Where information is fragmented, time is spent reconstructing context. Where responsibilities overlap without clear ownership, accountability becomes difficult to locate. Where coordination depends on a small number of individuals, the organisation becomes vulnerable to their availability and capacity.

Organisational structure can easily appear administrative when described through reporting lines, governance forums or role definitions. Its practical purpose is more important: it should allow appropriate decisions to be made by the appropriate people, with access to the information they need and with clear accountability for the outcome.

What visible outputs do not show

Research organisations are usually assessed through outputs such as completed trials, reports, publications and successfully delivered projects. These are important measures, but they do not provide a complete account of organisational health.

Sustained performance also depends on conditions that accumulate less visibly over time. At Provar, we have identified scientific credibility, human capacity, institutional memory, trust, financial resilience and morale as particularly important. These conditions determine whether the organisation can continue producing credible work as its environment and workload change.

They can also weaken before outputs visibly decline. Teams may compensate through additional effort, experienced people may retain knowledge that has not been adequately documented, and trust may absorb temporary periods of pressure. The organisation continues to deliver, but the cost is carried elsewhere in the system.

This delay between pressure and visible consequence makes organisational health difficult to judge from delivery alone.

Illustration of interconnected organisational functions, including research, technology, operations and management, supporting Provar's growth.
Sustainable organisational growth depends on the connections between people, processes and resources, rather than the performance of individual functions alone.

Growth creates demand before it creates capability

Growth is commonly measured through project numbers, revenue, staff complement or the expansion of services. However, growth creates more than additional work. Each new project also creates additional reporting, review, coordination and financial oversight. Each new role adds capacity, but also introduces new interfaces and information requirements.

Growth therefore creates demand immediately, while the capability to manage that demand develops more slowly. People require time to gain experience. Governance structures must adapt. Information systems must mature. Organisational learning must be captured so that knowledge becomes available beyond the individuals who initially developed it.

This is why simply adding people or accepting more work does not necessarily strengthen an organisation. Sustainable growth requires the structures around that work to develop at the same time.

How this influences our approach

Thinking in systems has changed some of the questions we ask at Provar. When a challenge recurs, we consider whether it reflects insufficient capability or insufficient clarity. We ask whether workload pressure is genuinely temporary or is being absorbed through sustained additional effort. We examine whether knowledge has become part of the organisation or remains dependent on particular individuals. We also consider whether growth is strengthening Provar or merely increasing its activity.

These questions do not replace direct management, nor do they suggest that every problem has a structural cause. They help us distinguish between isolated events and recurring patterns, so that the response is directed at the appropriate level.

For Provar, this thinking is ultimately connected to scientific credibility. Credible research depends on good science, but good science must be supported by an organisation capable of preserving independence, allocating sufficient capacity, retaining what it learns and maintaining consistent standards under pressure.

As Provar grows, we therefore need to assess more than the amount of work being completed. The more consequential question is whether the organisation behind that work is strengthening at the same time.

Because the quality of our research will ultimately reflect the quality of the system that produces it.

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